最近都在看免術跨女討論串
越看越覺得正反雙方好像在雞同鴨講……
主要是區分性別空間的部分吧
反方時常提出的一個論點是未術跨女自己也怕生理男,為何不能體諒生理女會怕生理男
但我感覺正方本來就沒在意男性身體的問題,他們在意的是我自認是女的為什麼不能進女性空間
越看越覺得正反雙方好像在雞同鴨講……
主要是區分性別空間的部分吧
反方時常提出的一個論點是未術跨女自己也怕生理男,為何不能體諒生理女會怕生理男
但我感覺正方本來就沒在意男性身體的問題,他們在意的是我自認是女的為什麼不能進女性空間
Basic reproduction number - Wikipedia
In epidemiology, the basic reproduction number of an infection can be thought of as the expected number of cases directly generated by one case in a population where all individuals are susceptible to infection.
In epidemiology, the basic reproduction number of an infection can be thought of as the expected number of cases directly generated by one case in a population where all individuals are susceptible to infection.
The definition describes the state where no other individuals are infected or immunized (naturally or through vaccination).
The basic reproduction number is not to be confused with the effective reproduction number R which is the number of cases generated in the current state of a population, which does not have to be the uninfected state. By definition R0 cannot be modified through vaccination campaigns.
R0 is not a biological constant for a pathogen as it is also affected by other factors such as environmental conditions and the behaviour of the infected population.
Furthermore R0 values are usually estimated from mathematical models, and the estimated values are dependent on the model used and values of other parameters.
Furthermore R0 values are usually estimated from mathematical models, and the estimated values are dependent on the model used and values of other parameters.
Thus values given in the literature make only sense in the given context and it is recommended not to use obsolete values or compare values based on different models.[13] R0 does not by itself give an estimate of how fast an infection spreads in the population.
我的理解是,R0 是某傳染病真正存在的一個理想數值,但是我們不知道這個真實數值,所以用已知數據估計出 R0,然後再以這個我們認知中(希望和真實R0會一樣)的 R0 去做其他應用,像是評估風險之類的
你把他想成說,我們要怎麼知道Chris Sale的stuff如何?那我們要用不同的方式去測量。譬如看ERA、FIP、WHIP、WAR blahbalhblah. 在不同情況下,譬如投手球場、打者球場,或是面對不同打線、有垃圾隊敲垃圾桶等情況,Sale的ERA等會改變,但是估計出來的R0應該是要能反應他的stuff,藉此知道他是否是一個好投手。
但這個推估不是說,一個病毒的恆定能力如何,而是一個傳染病在特定狀態下的stuff,所以他不是一個常數。例如Stephen Curry在現今的NBA不能hand check和打pace and space的環境下強到爆,但在90年代可能會被打斷腿。