FakeNewsRulesUs
3 weeks ago
Nate Silver Explains Why He Is Skeptical Of Battleground State Polling

"The odds are 1 in 9.5 trillion against at least this many polls showing such a close margin,” Silver said.

By Tim Pearce
Nov 3, 2024 The Daily Wire - Redirecting...

Fake news media, fake polls.

Silver said the most suspicious polling results have come out of Wisconsin.
latest #6
FakeNewsRulesUs
3 weeks ago
On the ground in Wisconsin two Republicans and one Democrat told Clinton guy Mark Halpern that not looking good for Kamala Harris there.

Yet cranky Carville all of a sudden claiming that Harris is making massive cheese there. And funding it by her own appeal to voters.

"Ms. Harris is processing Cheddar like a Wisconsin cheese factory."
Walkinggeek
3 weeks ago
“This is a clear-as-day example of what we call herding: the tendency of some polling firms to move with the flock by file-drawering (not publishing) results that don’t match the consensus or torturing their turnout models until they do,” the polling analyst said.
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Walkinggeek
3 weeks ago
“Across these final polls, white Democrats were 16 percent likelier to respond than white Republicans. That’s a larger disparity than our earlier polls this year, and it’s not much better than our final polls in 2020 — even with the pandemic over. It raises the possibility that the polls could underestimate Mr. Trump yet again,”
FakeNewsRulesUs
3 weeks ago
walkinggeek: Three factors- 1. The fear vote (Trump voters refusing to identify for fear of giving info), 2. The Bradley vote (commits to Harris out of peer pressure, but does not vote for her- estimated up to half of Grn Z voters), 3. TDS shamed hidden voter.

#1 I have empathy for.
FakeNewsRulesUs
3 weeks ago
walkinggeek:Also, massive new voters going for Trump. Supposedly late voters going for Harris.
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